Daily Decision Trading Update: 12.2.16


Welcome to the new Daily Decision Trading Service!

This new service is made up of 3 trading models: The CORE Model (risk-managed core holdings), The LEADERS Model (the top sectors), and The TRADING Model (an opportunistic trading strategy). Each model is traded separately live - in real time - on Marketfy. And the combination of all three models makes up the Daily Decision Trading Service's overall portfolio.

We hope you enjoy this new pro-level, hedge fund-like service, run by a professional trading team with more than 35 years of trading experience!

Cheers!
The Front Range Trading Team



The Early Take on the Market:
It's the first Friday of a new month, so it's time to check in on the state of the jobs market. The Labor Department reported that the economy added 178K new jobs in November, which was a smidge above the 175K consensus estimate. The surprise in the report was the unemployment rate falling to 4.6% - analysts had expected the rate to hold steady at 4.9%. This was the lowest level of unemployment since August 2007. However, the news wasn't all good as hourly earnings pulled back a bit. The report basically cements the view that the Fed will hike rates at their December meeting. The futures market agrees with this view, assigning a 93% probability of a rate hike this month.

Looking at the action in the market and our portfolio, after the impressive romp higher seen since the election, it isn't surprising to see stocks pull back a bit here. The market had become overbought and sentiment indicators are now negative, which is usually a combination that leads to at least a pause in a the action. It is also important to note that much of the current weakness can be attributed to the apparent "rotation move" out of the big-cap "FANGs" - a move that isn't likely to persist. So, while we are being a bit cautious here, we also aren't getting uber-defensive either.

Have a great day!



Daily Decision Trading Service
Current Portfolio Summary
The CORE Model

Position

Symbol
% of
Model
% of DDTS
Portfolio
Date
Purchased
Purchase
Price
Current
Rating
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 ETF UPRO 25.0% 8.33% 12.1.16 $76.93 Buy
The LEADERS Model

Position

Symbol
% of
Model
% of DDTS
Portfolio
Date
Purchased
Purchase
Price
Current
Rating
SPDR Financials ETF XLF 33.3% 11.1% 12.1.16 $22.89 Buy
SPDR Technology ETF XLK 33.4% 11.1% 12.1.16 $46.64 Strong Buy
SPDR Industrials ETF XLI 33.3% 11.1% 12.1.16 $62.82 Hold
The TRADING Model

Position

Symbol
% of
Model
% of DDTS
Portfolio
Date
Purchased
Purchase
Price
Current
Rating
ProShares Ultra S&P 500 ETF --- 0% 0% NA $0 Hold




% of Model Explained
The Daily Decision Trading Service (DDTS) is comprised of three models. The number shown in this column represents the percentage of the specific model the position represents.


% of DDTS Portfolio Explained
The Daily Decision Trading Service (DDTS) is comprised of three models. The number shown in this column represents the percentage of the overall portfolio (all 3 models combined) the position represents. (This percentage is shown to illustrate what the holding of the position would be if the DDTS was in a single account.)


Current Rating Explained
This is our rating for the day. The Current Rating tells you what action we would take if we did not currently hold the position. A "Buy" rating means we would be willing to purchase the position at current prices. A "Strong Buy" suggests this would be our first choice to buy. A "Hold" rating indicates we would not make new purchases at current levels. And a "Sell" rating indicates we will likely exit the position in the near-term.


Positions Can Change
Positions often change during the trading session. Remember that we will send a Trade Alert via SMS Text Message and/or Email BEFORE we ever make a move in the models.


About the Daily Decision Trading Service
Our easy-to-follow Daily Decision Trading Service is a modern, pro-level, multi-strategy, multi-manager approach that is made up of three models:

  • The CORE Model
  • The LEADERS Model
  • The TRADING Model


We start with THE CORE Model holdings. This risk-managed position is designed to provide the appropriate level of exposure to the U.S. stock market given the current risk/reward environment and makes up one-third of the overall DDTS portfolio. The goal of the CORE is to give us "the forest" and to stay in tune with the market's big, important moves. And when the bears come to call, the CORE is designed to take defensive measures by moving into capital preservation mode.


Next, we allocate one-third of the overall DDTS portfolio to THE LEADERS Model. This model focuses on the top sectors in the market. Because in short, when technology, biotech, the banks etc., start to heat up, we want to make sure we have an overweighted exposure to the market leaders.


And finally, one-third of the DDTS portfolio consists of THE TRADING Model. This model seeks trading opportunities based on swing-trading and mean-reversion strategies. These are designed to be short-term positions and the primary goal is simple: to add value via an opportunistic approach to trading!


When combined, the three models represent a modern, multi-strategy, risk-managed portfolio.


Cheers!
The Front Range Trading Team


Daily Decision Links:

Daily Decision Resource Page

Interactive Performance Details


NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. The analysis and information in this report and on our website is for informational purposes only. No part of the material presented in this report or on our websites is intended as an investment recommendation or investment advice. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed nor any Portfolio constitutes a solicitation to purchase or sell securities or any investment program. The opinions and forecasts expressed are those of the editors and may not actually come to pass. The opinions and viewpoints regarding the future of the markets should not be construed as recommendations of any specific security nor specific investment advice. Investors should always consult an investment professional before making any investment.

Posted to Daily Decisions Service on Dec 02, 2016 — 10:12 AM
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