Here how the guy that coined the term "black swan" explains the situation in Syria.
This is not my political view but I found it to easily explain a struggle that is in the news on a daily basis.
"Juxtaposition. The way to analyze the situation is to look at the factions comparatively. You do not compare Assad’s regime to the Danish or Norwegian governments, but to the alternative. The question becomes if there is anything in the left column that is worse than the right column?"