The Daily Decision for 12.4.17 - Up +22.5% YTD


Publishing Note: The calendar is challenging this week and we will publish Daily Updates as time permits. However, we will publish TRADE ALERTS before any adjustments are made to the portfolio.

The Daily Decision Models:

The Daily Decision is designed to be a simple, easy-to-follow e-letter service showcasing 3 different model portfolios. The LEADERS model is a growth oriented strategy that focuses on "where the action is" in terms of market leadership. The CORE model is a longer-term, risk-managed approach to keeping exposure to market risk in line with prevailing conditions. And as the name implies, the TRADING model is intended to be a tactical, opportunistic trading strategy.



Today's Model Review:

LEADERS Model: We made a change to the LEADERS model on Monday as we took profits in the Financials sector and added a position in Health Care. The LEADERS currently holds positions in the Technology, Industrials, and Health Care sectors. Looking at performance, we continue to be pleased as the LEADERS model is up +22.5% ytd compared to +18.0% for S&P 500.

CORE (RISK MANAGED) EXPOSURE Model: Today's CORE model's exposure is just below the current target at 90% vs. 110%. Thus, we will be on the lookout for an opportunity to get in line with the model. As a reminder, the goal of this model is to stay in tune with the overall risk/reward environment. Therefore, we make adjustments only when there is a meaningful and sustained divergence between the target model reading and our current positions.

TRADING Model: We currently hold trades in the Russell 2000, India Small Caps, Eurozone, a dividend-payer ETF, and the emerging markets.

Below are the current holdings of each model portfolio:


Daily Decision Trading Service
Current Portfolio Summary
The LEADERS Model

Position
Target
Exposure
ETF
Symbol
% of
Model
Date
Purchased
Purchase
Price
Current
Rating
Technology Select Sector SPDR 33.4% XLK 33.4% 12.1.16 $46.64 Strong Buy
Industrial Select Sector SPDR 33.3% XLI 33.3% 8.14.17 $68.58 Hold
Health Care Select Sector SPDR 33.3% XLV 33.3% 11.27.17 $81.79 Buy
The CORE EXPOSURE Model

Position
Target
Exposure
ETF
Symbol
% of
Model
Date
Purchased
Purchase
Price
Current
Rating
ProShares UltraPro S&P (3X) 90% UPRO 30.00% Various $98.78 Hold
The TRADING Model

Position
Target
Exposure
ETF
Symbol
% of
Model
Date
Purchased
Purchase
Price
Current
Rating
iShares Eurozone ETF 20% EZU 20% 5.11.17 $40.25 Buy
First Trust Value Line Dividend Fund 20% FVD 20% 5.11.17 $28.88 Hold
iShares Emerging Markets ETF 20% EEM 20% 6.112.2 $41.57 Strong Buy
VanEck Vectors India Small-Cap Index ETF 20% SCIF 20% 7.18.17 $58.00 Buy
iShares Russell 2000 ETF 20% IWM 20% 10.19.17 $146.09 Buy




Target Exposure Explained
This column is the goal percentage in terms of the overall exposure for the model. This is shown due to the fact that we utilize leveraged ETFs.

% of Model Explained
The number shown in this column represents the percentage of the the model this position represents.

Current Rating Explained
This is our rating for the day. The Current Rating tells you what action we would take if we did not currently hold the position. A "Buy" rating means we would be willing to purchase the position at current prices. A "Strong Buy" suggests this would be our first choice to buy. A "Hold" rating indicates we would not make new purchases at current levels. And a "Sell" rating indicates we will likely exit the position in the near-term.

Positions Can Change
Positions often change during the trading session. Remember that we will send a Trade Alert via SMS Text Message and/or Email BEFORE we ever make a move in the models.


About the Daily Decision Models:

THE LEADERS Model: This model focuses on the top sectors in the market. Because in short, when technology, biotech, the banks etc., start to heat up, we want to make sure we have an overweighted exposure to the market leaders.

THE CORE Model: This risk-managed position is designed to provide the appropriate level of exposure to the U.S. stock market given the current risk/reward environment and makes up one-third of the overall DDTS portfolio. The goal of the CORE is to give us "the forest" and to stay in tune with the market's big, important moves. And when the bears come to call, the CORE is designed to take defensive measures by moving into capital preservation mode.

THE TRADING Model: This model seeks trading opportunities based on swing-trading and mean-reversion strategies. These are designed to be short-term positions and the primary goal is simple: to add value via an opportunistic approach to trading!

Wishing You All The Best in Your Investing Endeavors!

The Front Range Trading Team



Daily Decision Links:
Daily Decision Resource Page
Interactive Performance Details


NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. The analysis and information in this report and on our website is for informational purposes only. No part of the material presented in this report or on our websites is intended as an investment recommendation or investment advice. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed nor any Portfolio constitutes a solicitation to purchase or sell securities or any investment program. The opinions and forecasts expressed are those of the editors and may not actually come to pass. The opinions and viewpoints regarding the future of the markets should not be construed as recommendations of any specific security nor specific investment advice. Investors should always consult an investment professional before making any investment.

Posted to Daily Decision Trading Se... on Dec 04, 2017 — 8:12 AM
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