Morning Comment: NY Sports Teams Have Become Irrelevant (and that's not good).


It should be a quiet day today...as the bond market is closed for Columbus Day (or whatever the call it now)...and a lot of market participants (both bond & stock market players) have taken a three-day weekend. To be honest, we’re a bit surprised that the futures are trading higher this morning. There really isn’t any new-news...and the market has become a overbought on a very-short-term basis after rising 9 out of the last 12 trading sessions. However, sometimes the momentum in the market place gets so strong that it just keeps on going day after day after day...just like it did in late February and early January of this year...and in late August and the very beginning of September.

The problem is that when markets move upward in a relatively straight line...and don’t take any “breathers” along the way (especially when they rise takes place in a situation where no “new-news” is fueling the rise)...it makes the market susceptible to a scary decline at some point in the future. Needless to say, this is exactly what we got in February and September of this year. In other words, investors seem to be buying this market on the “hope” of a new stimulus package (which probably won’t be agreed to unless the stock market falls)...and that we won’t get a contested election. This is great...and it could be a reason for short-term players to continue to buy the market. However, as we highlighted in our weekend piece, the inability to pass a fiscal deal at a time when more layoffs are being announced...and our strong opinion that a “blue wave” will not be bullish for the stock market...tells us that investors will NEED to remain very, very nimble through the end of this year.

That said, the market could definitely ...

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Morning Comment: Next Week Will Be Very Important For The Stock Market


Our apologies for not publishing yesterday, we had a power outage and it took quite a long time to get back up and running yesterday. Anyway, our feeling is that the only thing that will really be remembered from the ...

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Morning Comment: Bank stocks and the yield curve


The stock market rallied nicely yesterday...and although talk of a fiscal deal out of Washington and news that President Trump was leaving the hospital got a lot of the credit for the advance...we believe the falling odds of a contested ...

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Morning Comment: A bullish development for banks???


We find it interesting that the stock futures are trading meaningfully higher this morning given that we cannot find any new-news on a fiscal deal. The S&P futures are basically signaling that they’ll claw back everything the S&P lost on ...

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Morning Comment: October...deja vu all-over again...or not???


  • October in NE: Colors, Red Sox, Tom Brady...Wait, what?
  • September corrections usually bottom in October.
  • Chip stocks are a great leading indicator...and they're rising.
  • But so are the truckers...and they're falling.


October in New England: Colors, Red Sox, Tom Brady...Wait, ...

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Morning Comment: Follow the Dollar


  • Things are only going to get uglier in the Presidential campaign.
  • Trump is actually winning the “expectations game” for the debate.
  • Pelosi’s comments & the dollar are helping the market bounce this morning.
  • The dollar is overbought near-term, but still ...
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Morning Comment: Watch the chip stocks for guidance


Wow, another wild day in the stock market yesterday. A 1.5% rally off the initial lows was followed by a 1% decline into late-morning. That, in turn, was followed by a 1.7% rally into mid-afternoon...which was then followed by another ...

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Morning Comment: European Banks Testing Critical Support Level


We saw a nice bounce in the stock market yesterday, but the trend on the “internals” on the market continues to be the same that it has been since the beginning of the month. In other words, “internals” continue to ...

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THE WEEKLY TOP 10


THE WEEKLY T0P 10


Table of Contents:

1) The stock market was (and is still) ripe for a further decline...no matter what the Fed said this week.

2) However, the Fed’s actions of the past decade HAVE put us in ...

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Morning Comment: DON'T BLAME THE FED for today's weakness!


We’ll start by saying that if it turns out be true that President Trump played a large role in getting the Big 10 to reinstate their football season, the election in over! Given how important college football is to the ...

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Morning Comment.....FDX: GREAT quarter, but VERY overbought....Stewart Cink.



The stock market gave back some of its midday gains late in the afternoon yesterday...after APPL slipped well off of its highs for the day and the dollar bounced back into positive territory for the day. However the stock market ...

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THE WEEKLY TOP 10



THE WEEKLY TOP 10


Table of Contents:

1) The “artificial” moves actually started in Q4 of last year (after the repo debacle).

2) When the market reaches the kinds of extremes it did in Aug, it takes time to work ...

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