Cable is Breaking but Not Really

GBPUSD DAILY CHART

The U.S. dollar remains in consolidation after the past year’s rally. Now that the Federal Reserve has actually taken hawkish action, there is a possibility that the U.S. dollar weakens even in the face of a hawkish Federal Reserve. Therefore, the GBP/USD remains bullish for as long as price remains above the 1.4000-level. However, as the GBP/USD has attempted to move higher, price currently finds strong resistance at the 1.4500-level. While holding below the 1.4500-support level is actually a bearish signal for future price action, price has been unable to gain traction in either direction. The GBP/USD has actually become rangebound between the 1.4500-resistance level and the 1.4000/50-support levels. As price action coils in this range, the GBP/USD has actually found resistance within the greater range at the 1.4350-level. As the new trading week gets underway, there is no action to take whatsoever while the GBP/USD trades within the range. When price reaches current resistance at 1.4350, sellers will look to establish position in the GBP/USD that targets the bottom of the range at the 1.4050/00-level. Bearish bias wins this battle when the GBP/USD closes below the 1.4000-level. A close above the 1.4500-level confirms the bullish bias and a continuation of the rally to the 1.4750-level.

Premium trade setups with targets and stops are published in the GBP/USD Outlook for the Week in Volume 59, this week's Quid Report.

Posted to Quid Report on Apr 19, 2016 — 7:04 AM

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